Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.111166 0.130763 0.152672 0.178963 0.209643 0.244300 0.286412
2025-11-16 0.081378 0.106413 0.137350 0.178325 0.231112 0.296772 0.384609
2025-11-23 0.062782 0.088897 0.123686 0.173284 0.242052 0.333903 0.465795
2025-11-30 0.052981 0.080081 0.118467 0.176584 0.262119 0.383143 0.567153
2025-12-07 0.044951 0.071933 0.112256 0.176581 0.276287 0.424566 0.661411
2025-12-14 0.037820 0.063734 0.104381 0.172354 0.282737 0.454398 0.740964
2025-12-21 0.032904 0.058131 0.099489 0.171684 0.293986 0.492037 0.836119
2025-12-28 0.030109 0.055548 0.098975 0.177815 0.316625 0.549838 0.969959
2026-01-04 0.028012 0.053813 0.099551 0.185678 0.342846 0.616070 1.125061
2026-01-11 0.025705 0.051324 0.098397 0.190169 0.363425 0.674502 1.272676
2026-01-18 0.023140 0.047951 0.095143 0.190265 0.375788 0.719345 1.400291
2026-01-25 0.020167 0.043336 0.088915 0.183822 0.374882 0.739469 1.483642
2026-02-01 0.017143 0.038322 0.081536 0.174742 0.368915 0.751637 1.557954
2026-02-08 0.015359 0.035669 0.078600 0.174390 0.380630 0.799974 1.710680
2026-02-15 0.013427 0.032375 0.073839 0.169488 0.382170 0.827950 1.825173
2026-02-22 0.012395 0.030955 0.072904 0.172720 0.401430 0.894522 2.028315
2026-03-01 0.011251 0.029082 0.070681 0.172718 0.413472 0.947013 2.207102
2026-03-08 0.009978 0.026688 0.066913 0.168581 0.415498 0.977723 2.340969
2026-03-15 0.009070 0.025063 0.064737 0.167925 0.425535 1.027432 2.523861
2026-03-22 0.008621 0.024564 0.065244 0.173926 0.452339 1.118705 2.814580
2026-03-29 0.008287 0.024323 0.066363 0.181621 0.484290 1.225664 3.155178
2026-04-05 0.007818 0.023632 0.066221 0.186017 0.508420 1.316408 3.466362
2026-04-12 0.007204 0.022429 0.064551 0.186111 0.521377 1.380984 3.719286